Kamala Harris is showing a last-second surge in an unexpected area, the typically bright red Iowa.

A final Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll just released shows Vice President Harris leading Donald Trump 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. 

Polling in September showed Trump with a four point lead over Harris and an 18 point leads for Trump over President Biden before he dropped out over the summer.

But the tables have since turned the new survey reveals, presenting a potential new path to victory for Harris and her campaign. 

A new survey shows Kamala Harris with a three point lead in Iowa

A new survey shows Kamala Harris with a three point lead in Iowa 

The three point lead for Harris is well within the margin of error of the poll.

Surprisingly the survey also found that independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received three percent of the vote. 

The Kennedy notably had nine percent of the vote in the state according to polls conducted in June.  

The surprise lead for Harris is buoyed by independent women voters, which have been expected to break for the Democrat as men turn to Trump in droves. 

Harris has a 28 point lead with these women over Trump. Independent men, on the other hand, are breaking for the Republican.  

Former President Trump and Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris are tied in the polls with 3 days until the election

Former President Trump and Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris are tied in the polls with 3 days until the election 

   

The latest J.L. Partners election forecast model delivered to DailyMail.com Saturday also spells bad news for Trump. 

The model is trending away from ‘lean’ Trump into ‘toss up’ territory. 

Trump remains the favorite, and he wins in 62.2 percent of simulations. 

 But that is a drop of 2.5 points since Friday and he has now lost seven points in five days, reflecting a string of polls favorable to Kamala Harris.

All the swing states have seen movement against Trump.



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